All-Star Statistically Who Is Most Likely To Win Worlds?

[IloveSeniorElite]

This kind of thing goes on every year with routine break downs. I am talking about for each division assuming they hit, who is going to score strongest/most likely to max out the score sheet in: stunting, standing tumbling, running tumbling, pyramid, dance, jumps, difficulty, and whatever else is on the score sheet.

Basically, I would love to take the time to do this for routines but I don't have the time so if people already have different teams broken down by number of standing fulls, number of groups doing the main stunt, etc. please write it below. I always think it is interesting to see the different routines and who is more likely to score higher based on skills compared to how the actual results come out when teams hit or don't. Thanks!

 

[garretttt]

Orange

 

[Cody Z.]

ORANGE! :) F5 of course........and small coed ICE :)

 

[IloveSeniorElite]

But can anyone break these team's routines down by skill? I know we used to do this in the past, but it was like:

F5:
Standing: X number of standing fulls
Stunting: 9 groups doing the stunt
Running: 33 doubles

(I made those numbers up, I obviously don't know them because I am asking for them). I know last year Senior Elite wasn't beating Stars or F5 in any category a Worlds, I think? Regardless, I am still interested in numbers here if anyone has them! Wasn't try to make another prediction thread per-say. :cool:

 

[King]

Being honest the ranges this year are so huge that it's the first year I don't think I can predict the likely winners.

 

[imrichhowboutu]

Being honest the ranges this year are so huge that it's the first year I don't think I can predict the likely winners.

Agreed. It may be easy to tell a few categories over the others, but i can't imagine how they are going to divide ranges that have that much of a difference.

 

[King]

Agreed. It may be easy to tell a few categories over the others, but i can't imagine how they are going to divide ranges that have that much of a difference.

I think one of two things will happen (club division wise, in international there is a whole different set of factors):

1. The scores in the ranges for the top teams wont have much differentiation. If stunts are worth 25 points then, for example, WCSS/F5/SE will all get 24-25 points. Execution will be very similar and they will top out well. There will be an obvious dropoff then and in reality all the top teams will be battling for that extra 1 point.

OR

2. The judges will really play with the large range. Let us say SE has the hardest stunt and is maxing out at 25 but WCSS is only getting 20 because they dont really do any combo release moves and spinning. But WCSS gets that full 15 on dance and SE only gets a 10 because that is what WCSS does extremely well.


I am more hoping for possibility 2 because it will make things a lot more exciting, but possibility 1 is the more likely scenario.

 

[imrichhowboutu]

I think one of two things will happen (club division wise, in international there is a whole different set of factors):

1. The scores in the ranges for the top teams wont have much differentiation. If stunts are worth 25 points then, for example, WCSS/F5/SE will all get 24-25 points. Execution will be very similar and they will top out well. There will be an obvious dropoff then and in reality all the top teams will be battling for that extra 1 point.

OR

2. The judges will really play with the large range. Let us say SE has the hardest stunt and is maxing out at 25 but WCSS is only getting 20 because they dont really do any combo release moves and spinning. But WCSS gets that full 15 on dance and SE only gets a 10 because that is what WCSS does extremely well.


I am more hoping for possibility 2 because it will make things a lot more exciting, but possibility 1 is the more likely scenario.

I think possibility 2 really makes it possible for teams that specialize in skills to win when I believe the team that does everything better all around with no specialty should win.

Since there are different judges for building and tumbling, I want to know if the ranges are going to be similar. If stunts have a really big differential, would tumbling have the same one, or could tumbling be really close to each other in terms of range of scoring.